Settles
Does the MPC change Bank Rate on Nov 5?
The Bank of England decides on Nov 5. Our simulation puts the chance of a change at 38%. Sealed in public before the answer is known.
Bank of England · simulated forecast
See the forecast: Does the MPC change Bank Rate on Nov 5?Browse all
Today’s challenge · Recall: pick the antibiotic supplierPlay today’s challenge · first turn freeTomorrow at 00:00 UTC: a new table.
Yesterday: Pitch the goat startup at dinner. Nobody beat the table. Try it →
Play: OPEC+: set the quota for Q1 2027
See the forecast: Does OPEC+ change Q1 2027 production levels?
Play: The board votes: cut or sell
See the forecast: Does SpaceX fly a Starship test by Nov 30?
Play: Council vote: the Fenwick Street bike lane
See the forecast: Does NVIDIA report revenue above $110.16B?- Play: Recall: pick the antibiotic supplier
See the forecast: Does OpenAI announce a funding round of $10B+?
Play: Rate day: win the committee for a cut
See the forecast: Does Anthropic price its IPO by Nov 30?
See the forecast: Does a named storm make US landfall in November?
Play: Win the negotiation for your term sheet
See the forecast: Does the FOMC lower the fed funds rate?
Play: Win the grant for your pilot
See the forecast: Do Republicans hold a US House majority?
Play: Ask for the raise
See the forecast: Do Republicans hold a Senate majority?
Play: Pitch the goat startup at dinner
See the forecast: Does SCOTUS issue a signed opinion by Jan 14?
Play: Split the company: two founders, one table
Play: Redistricting night: draw the feeder zones
Play: The boiler: negotiate the repair- From history
Play: Persuade Lincoln to issue the proclamation now
Play: Black Saturday: trade the missiles