Sealed forecasts · Forecast
Simulated forecast · sealed · pending
November landfall: does a named tropical storm or hurricane make landfall on the contiguous United States during November 2026, on or before 2026-11-30, as recorded by the National Hurricane Center?
The question November landfall: does a named tropical storm or hurricane make landfall on the contiguous United States during November 2026, on or before 2026-11-30, as recorded by the National Hurricane Center?
Simulated by Claude Sonnet 4.5, planned by Claude Haiku 5.5.
Resolves in 28 days
Window ends Nov 30, 2026
Why this is sealed
Before the outcome is known, we publish the forecast and record a fingerprint (hash) of its exact wording with public timestamp services. Afterward anyone can prove we said exactly this, on this date, and never edited it.
Receipt
- Forecast
- November landfall: does a named tropical storm or hurricane make landfall on the contiguous United States during November 2026, on or before 2026-11-30, as recorded by the National Hurricane Center?
- Probability
- 15%
- Window ends
- Nov 30, 2026
- Sealed
- 2026-10-21T21:18:19Z
- Hash
sha256:680fdf589639ed5db04d4e99706a91f7f4f6aae252f3a6649e070dcf4759aada- Timestamp calendars
- a.pool.opentimestamps.org, b.pool.opentimestamps.org
- Outcome
- Not settled yet
- Proofs
- proof 1 · proof 2
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